Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 45.159062 51.892152 58.900054 66.706890 75.129859 83.914662 93.740254
2024-10-20 34.324170 43.647121 53.927864 65.973408 79.572401 94.332177 111.446653
2024-10-27 27.158214 37.542951 49.534335 64.127959 81.147153 100.130512 122.672282
2024-11-03 24.171367 35.716721 49.533661 66.830144 87.475829 110.945256 139.266444
2024-11-10 21.385072 33.696376 48.934412 68.504537 92.347631 119.897982 153.598778
2024-11-17 17.966999 30.429053 46.433306 67.550981 93.826621 124.689803 162.952829
2024-11-24 15.108546 27.548293 44.121946 66.565933 95.045509 129.002183 171.610459
2024-12-01 13.107031 25.612218 42.842232 66.715550 97.524739 134.726224 181.875783
2024-12-08 11.409524 23.908477 41.708638 66.915628 99.961142 140.326929 191.951684
2024-12-15 10.080853 22.600938 40.995975 67.570038 102.901246 146.501152 202.703256
2024-12-22 8.501555 20.687960 39.264186 66.718600 103.799077 150.074227 210.239020
2024-12-29 7.646457 19.871094 39.049079 67.886171 107.291522 156.873714 221.740241
2025-01-05 6.890816 19.153164 38.950850 69.223673 111.055497 164.101292 233.904913
2025-01-12 5.762512 17.591589 37.447304 68.485530 111.996561 167.719552 241.586910
2025-01-19 4.569298 15.685085 35.238350 66.594538 111.273242 169.125458 246.439456
2025-01-26 4.355728 15.751750 36.206632 69.360929 116.919032 178.775873 261.712164
2025-02-02 3.983239 15.418251 36.478890 71.074433 121.112658 186.554012 274.647257
2025-02-09 3.241471 14.111498 35.012519 70.098634 121.521518 189.359929 281.253061
2025-02-16 2.601140 12.886653 33.580368 69.090478 121.822106 191.981236 287.597403
2025-02-23 2.188557 12.138317 32.928821 69.243613 123.733689 196.717037 296.653231
2025-03-02 1.834160 11.453856 32.336006 69.448391 125.694307 201.508473 305.785574
2025-03-09 1.568713 10.956838 32.051919 70.118136 128.310865 207.177044 316.066077
2025-03-16 1.208963 10.023948 30.850729 69.246734 128.650283 209.759642 322.328017